The

Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute

QURI is a nonprofit research organization researching forecasting and epistemics to improve the long-term future of humanity.

The Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute Blog
Nuño Sempere
Members

Interim Update on our Work on EA Cause Area Candidates

The story so far: * I constructed the original Big List of Cause Candidates in December 2020. * I spent some time thinking about the pipeline for new cause area ideas, not all of which is posted. * I tried to use a bounty system to update the list for next year but

Ozzie Gooen
Members

The QURI Logo and Reflections on 99 Designs

A retrospective look at designing the QURI logo

Ozzie Gooen
Members

Who do EAs Feel Comfortable Critiquing?

Many effective altruists seem to find it scary to critique each other

Nuño Sempere
Members

Probing GPT-3's ability to produce new ideas in the style of Robin Hanson and others

Also posted in the EA Forum here. Brief description of the experiment I asked a language model to replicate a few patterns of generating insight that humanity hasn't really exploited much yet, such as: 1. Variations on "if you never miss a plane, you've been

Ozzie Gooen
Members

Can EAs use heated topics, in part, as learning opportunities?

Given that we're going through this anyway, maybe we could at least learn from it.

Ozzie Gooen
Members

EA Could Use Better Internal Communications Infrastructure

EA is lacking in many areas of enterprise infrastructure. Internal communication feels like a pressing one.

Ozzie Gooen
Members

14 Ways ML Could Improve Video

There's a long road ahead for machine learning and video, even pre-AGI

Ozzie Gooen
Members

Why does Academia+EA produce so few online videos?

(A shorter version on Facebook, here. There are some good points in the comments.) Why are there so many in-person-first EA/academic presentations, but so few online-first presentations or videos? Presentations are a big deal in academia, but from what I can tell, they almost always seem to be mainly

Ozzie Gooen
Members

Announcing Our Newsletter, The QURI Medley

A one-stop shop for both our early takes and polished works