$300 Fermi Model Competition

We're launching a short competition to make Fermi models, in order to encourage more experimentation of AI and Fermi modeling workflows. Squiggle AI is a recommended option, but is not at all required.

The ideal submission might be as simple as a particularly clever prompt paired with the right AI tool. Don't feel pressured to spend days on your entry - a creative insight could win even if it takes just 20 minutes to develop.

Task: Make an interesting and informative Fermi estimate
Prize: $300 for the top entry
Deadline: February 16th, 2025 (2 weeks away!)
Results Announcement: By March 1st, 2025
Judges: Claude 3.5 Sonnet, the QURI team

You can apply by posting a submission in the comments on the corresponding LessWrong or EA Forum post. More details in those posts.