Effective Altruism
Eli and Ozzie: Is Forecasting a Promising EA Cause Area?
Podcast Link There was recently a lengthy thread on the EA Forum about the value of forecasting as a potential cause area, between Eli Lifland and myself. We thought it would be interesting to expand on this in a podcast episode. Some Summary Points * Open Phil's expanded forecasting
Downsides of Small Organizations in EA
Recently I partipated in the EA Strategy Fortnight, with this post on the EA Forum. There are some good comment threads there I suggest checking out. Note: Our main work recently has been on making a “Squiggle Hub” that we intend to announce in the next few weeks, so there’
Relative values for animal suffering and ACE Top Charities
tl;dr: I present relative estimates for animal suffering and 2022 top Animal Charity Evaluators (ACE) charities. I am doing this to showcase a new tool from the Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute (QURI) and to present an alternative to ACE’s current rubric-based approach. Introduction and goals At QURI, we’
Patrick Gruban, on Effective Altruism Germany and Nonprofit Boards in EA
Here’s a discussion between myself and Patrick Gruban. Patrick Gruban is the co-director and managing director of Effective Altruism Germany and the co-founder and managing director of Rosy Green Wool. He is a serial entrepreneur with over 25 years of experience in different fields, including software development, visual arts,
Six Challenges with Criticism & Evaluation Around EA
Continuing on "Who do EAs Feel Comfortable Critiquing?”
Misha Yagudin and Ozzie Gooen Discuss LLMs and Effective Altruism
Cross-post on the EA Forum Misha and I recently recorded a short discussion about large language models and their uses for effective altruists. This was mostly a regular Zoom meeting, but we added some editing and text transcription. After we wrote up the transcript, both Misha and myself edited our
My highly personal skepticism braindump on existential risk from artificial intelligence
Links to the EA Forum post and personal blog post Summary This document seeks to outline why I feel uneasy about high existential risk estimates from AGI (e.g., 80% doom by 2070). When I try to verbalize this, I view considerations like * selection effects at the level of which
Interim Update on our Work on EA Cause Area Candidates
The story so far: * I constructed the original Big List of Cause Candidates in December 2020. * I spent some time thinking about the pipeline for new cause area ideas, not all of which is posted. * I tried to use a bounty system to update the list for next year but
Who do EAs Feel Comfortable Critiquing?
Many effective altruists seem to find it scary to critique each other
Can EAs use heated topics, in part, as learning opportunities?
Given that we're going through this anyway, maybe we could at least learn from it.
EA Could Use Better Internal Communications Infrastructure
EA is lacking in many areas of enterprise infrastructure. Internal communication feels like a pressing one.
Why does Academia+EA produce so few online videos?
(A shorter version on Facebook, here. There are some good points in the comments.) Why are there so many in-person-first EA/academic presentations, but so few online-first presentations or videos? Presentations are a big deal in academia, but from what I can tell, they almost always seem to be mainly