Name	QURI Content	External Content
⚖️ Epistemics	Are the social sciences challenging because of fundamental difficulties or because of imposed ones? Open Communication in the Days of Malicious Online Actors Can we hold intellectuals to similar public standards as athletes? Expansive translations: considerations and possibilities Stabilize-Reflect-Execute Overconfident talking down, humble or hostile talking up Three Kinds of Research Documents: Exploration, Explanation, Academic The RAIN Framework for Informational Effectiveness	Knowing Our Limits The Elephant in the Brain The Weirdest People in the World Why everyone (else) is a hypocrite Thinking, Fast and Slow Rationality: From AI to Zombies The Clockwork Universe: Isaac Newton, the Royal Society, and the Birth of the Modern World The Goal: A Process of Ongoing Improvement Pulse: The New Science of Harnessing Internet Buzz to Track Threats and Opportunities The Book of Why Management Logicomix: An epic search for truth Seeing Like a State: How Certain Schemes to Improve the Human Condition Have Failed
🔭 Forecasting	Real-Life Examples of Prediction Systems Interfering with the Real World (Predict-O-Matic Problems) Announcing the Forecasting Innovation Prize Incentive Problems With Current Forecasting Competitions. Predictably Predictable Futures Talk: Using Expected Loss & Prediction Innovation for Long Term Benefits Amplifying generalist research via forecasting – results from a preliminary exploration Part 1 Amplifying generalist research via forecasting – results from a preliminary exploration Part 2 Conversation on forecasting with Vaniver and Ozzie Gooen Predictive Reasoning Systems Can We Place Trust in Post-AGI Forecasting Evaluations? The Prediction Pyramid: Why Fundamental Work is Needed for Prediction Work Prediction-Augmented Evaluation Systems What if people simply forecasted your future choices? Introducing Foretold.io: A New Open-Source Prediction Registry 2020: Forecasting in Review Forecasting Prize Results	Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Forecasting: principles and practice
💎 Evaluation	Prize: Interesting Examples of Evaluations Shallow Review of Consistency in Statement Evaluation Impact Prizes as an alternative to Certificates of Impact Predicting the Value of Small Altruistic Projects: A Proof of Concept Experiment. An experiment to evaluate the value of one researcher's work Relative Impact of the First 10 EA Forum Prize Winners	Seeing Like a State: How Certain Schemes to Improve the Human Condition Have Failed
📐 Estimation	Graphical Assumption Modeling Creating a Text Shorthand for Uncertainty Multivariate estimation & the Squiggly language Adjusting probabilities for the passage of time, using Squiggle	How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of "Intangibles" in Business The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy Hedge Fund Market Wizards Probabilistic Models of Cognition The Black Swan A Student’s Guide to Bayesian Statistics Bayesian Data Analysis Foundations of Decision Analysis All of Statistics AI: A Modern Approach
🗂 Ontology	Big List of Cause Candidates A Funnel for Cause Candidates	Barry Smith's Lectures Sorting Things Out: Classification and its Consequences
💻 Software	Squiggle: An overview Introducing Foretold.io: A New Open-Source Prediction Registry Multivariate estimation & the Squiggly language Adjusting probabilities for the passage of time, using Squiggle Squiggle: Technical Overview Introducing Metaforecast: A Forecast Aggregator and Search Tool	Haskell Programming From First Principle Crafting Interpreters