Writing

Writing

NameCreation DateUrlAuthorsColumn
Real-Life Examples of Prediction Systems Interfering with the Real World (Predict-O-Matic Problems)
Dec 3, 2020
Nuño Sempere
An experiment to evaluate the value of one researcher's work
Dec 1, 2020
Nuño Sempere
Squiggle: Technical Overview
Nov 25, 2020
Ozzie Gooen
Squiggle: An overview
Nov 23, 2020
Ozzie Gooen
Predicting the Value of Small Altruistic Projects: A Proof of Concept Experiment.
Nov 22, 2020
Nuño Sempere
Prize: Interesting Examples of Evaluations
Nov 22, 2020
Elizabeth Van NostrandOzzie Gooen
Announcing the Forecasting Innovation Prize
Nov 15, 2020
Nuño SempereOzzie Gooen
Are the social sciences challenging because of fundamental difficulties or because of imposed ones?
Nov 9, 2020
Ozzie Gooen
Incentive Problems With Current Forecasting Competitions.
Nov 9, 2020
Nuño Sempere
Adjusting probabilities for the passage of time, using Squiggle
Oct 23, 2020
Nuño Sempere
Open Communication in the Days of Malicious Online Actors
Oct 6, 2020
Ozzie Gooen
Can we hold intellectuals to similar public standards as athletes?
Oct 6, 2020
Ozzie Gooen
Expansive translations: considerations and possibilities
Sep 18, 2020
Ozzie Gooen
Multivariate estimation & the Squiggly language
Sep 4, 2020
Ozzie Gooen
Predictably Predictable Futures Talk: Using Expected Loss & Prediction Innovation for Long Term Benefits
Jan 8, 2020
Ozzie Gooen
Amplifying generalist research via forecasting – results from a preliminary exploration Part 1
Dec 19, 2019
Ozzie GooenElizabeth Van NostrandNuño SempereJacob Lagerros
Amplifying generalist research via forecasting – results from a preliminary exploration Part 2
Dec 19, 2019
Ozzie GooenElizabeth Van NostrandNuño SempereJacob Lagerros
Introducing Foretold.io: A New Open-Source Prediction Registry
Oct 16, 2019
Ozzie Gooen
Shallow Review of Consistency in Statement Evaluation
Sep 9, 2019
Elizabeth Van Nostrand
Conversation on forecasting with Vaniver and Ozzie Gooen
Jul 30, 2019
Ozzie GooenJacob Lagerros
Impact Prizes as an alternative to Certificates of Impact
Feb 20, 2019
Ozzie Gooen
Predictive Reasoning Systems
Feb 20, 2019
Ozzie Gooen
Can We Place Trust in Post-AGI Forecasting Evaluations?
Feb 17, 2019
Ozzie Gooen
The Prediction Pyramid: Why Fundamental Work is Needed for Prediction Work
Feb 14, 2019
Ozzie Gooen
The RAIN Framework for Informational Effectiveness
Feb 13, 2019
Ozzie Gooen
Three Kinds of Research Documents: Exploration, Explanation, Academic
Feb 13, 2019
Ozzie Gooen
Overconfident talking down, humble or hostile talking up
Nov 30, 2018
Ozzie Gooen
Stabilize-Reflect-Execute
Nov 28, 2018
Ozzie Gooen
What if people simply forecasted your future choices?
Nov 23, 2018
Ozzie Gooen
Prediction-Augmented Evaluation Systems
Nov 9, 2018
Ozzie Gooen
Graphical Assumption Modeling
Jan 3, 2015
Ozzie Gooen
Creating a Text Shorthand for Uncertainty
Oct 19, 2013
Ozzie Gooen