Team

Team

Team

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Ozzie Gooen

President & Researcher

Ozzie has a background in programming and research. He previously founded Guesstimate and worked at the Future of Humanity Institute at Oxford.

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Nuño Sempere

Researcher

Nuño is currently applying forecasting and quantification/evaluation systems to longtermism. He has a background in forecasting and independent research, and was a summer fellow at the Future of Humanity Institute. He writes a widely read forecasting newsletter.

Board Members

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Ben Goldhaber

Board Member

Ben previously worked at Google and a variety of forecasting initiatives. He now is a strategy engineer at HASH.

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Jacob Lagerros

Board Member

Jacob Lagerros has worked on forecasting initiatives and worked at the Future of Humanity Institute. Now he is working on LessWrong.

Collaborators

Elizabeth Van Nostrand

Research Contractor

Elizabeth works with us on select posts around evaluation. She has also been a key part of our Amplifying Generalist Research experiment.

Eli Lifland

Research collaborator

Eli is a research engineer at Ought, where he works on its research assistant, Elicit. He is a top Metaculus and Foretell forecaster, and has collaborated with Nuño on various research and practical forecasting projects.

Peter Wildeford

Advisor

Peter is co-Executive Director of Rethink Priorities.

Misha Yagudin

Research collaborator

Misha is a founding partner at Arb, a research consultancy that has worked for Open Philanthropy, Jacob Steinhardt, and others. He coincided with Nuño at their FHI Summer Fellowship, and has since continued collaborating with him.