Nuño is currently applying forecasting and quantification/evaluation systems to longtermism. He has a background in forecasting and independent research, and was a summer fellow at the Future of Humanity Institute. He writes a widely read forecasting newsletter.
Elizabeth Van Nostrand
Elizabeth works with us on select posts around evaluation. She has also been a key part of our Amplifying Generalist Research experiment.
Eli is a research engineer at Ought, where he works on its research assistant, Elicit. He is a top Metaculus and Foretell forecaster, and has collaborated with Nuño on various research and practical forecasting projects.
Peter is co-Executive Director of Rethink Priorities.
Misha is a founding partner at Arb, a research consultancy that has worked for Open Philanthropy, Jacob Steinhardt, and others. He coincided with Nuño at their FHI Summer Fellowship, and has since continued collaborating with him.